How This Strategy Works
Uses the SPY 200-day SMA as a macro regime gate, then applies a dual-confirmation RSI(14) + MACD(12/26/9) confluence signal to time TQQQ/SQQQ rotations. In a bull regime, only a STRONG SELL(RSI > 65 + MACD bearish crossover) triggers SQQQ — everything else stays long TQQQ. In a bear regime, a BUY or STRONG BUY (MACD turning up, RSI not overbought) allows a TQQQ bounce trade — otherwise defaults to SQQQ.
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Recent Signal Changes
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Strategy Automation
Checks TQQQ RSI+MACD at 2:45pm ET and sends push alerts on signal changes.
Equity Curve
About TQQQ RSI+MACD
Combines RSI(14) and MACD(12/26/9) dual-confirmation signals with a SPY 200-day SMA macro regime gate to rotate between TQQQ (bull) and SQQQ (bear hedge). Only acts when both indicators agree, targeting higher-probability entry points.
📈Bull market
Defaults to TQQQ in bull regime. Only pivots to SQQQ on a STRONG SELL — requiring RSI above 65 (overbought) AND a MACD bearish crossover simultaneously — making bull-side hedges rare and deliberate.
📉Bear market
Defaults to SQQQ in bear regime. Opportunistically enters TQQQ on a BUY or STRONG BUY signal (MACD turning up, RSI oversold or below 50), positioning for short-term bounces inside the broader downtrend.
↔️Choppy market
Because both RSI and MACD must agree before generating a signal, the strategy tends to sit in NEUTRAL (holding the regime default) during choppy markets, reducing whipsaws compared to single-indicator approaches.
Key risk: Dual confirmation reduces false signals but also delays entries. In fast-moving markets the MACD crossover can lag, causing the strategy to miss the first leg of a move. Leveraged ETF decay applies to both TQQQ and SQQQ on extended holds.